15% of U.S. Jobs at Risk from AI, SHRM Warns

AI’s Growing Influence on the Workforce

As artificial intelligence (AI) continues to embed itself deeper into everyday operations and work environments, a new report highlights the transformative—and potentially disruptive—impact it may have on the employment landscape. According to the Society for Human Resource Management (SHRM), approximately 15% of U.S. jobs, equating to around 23.2 million positions, are at risk of being replaced by automated systems.

These roles are most susceptible where at least half of the job tasks can be automated, whether by machines, software, or AI-powered tools. This includes both physical automation, such as robotics, and digital automation through AI platforms. The report underlines that the threat is not uniform across industries, with some positions far more vulnerable than others.

Which Jobs Are Most at Risk?

SHRM’s study points to jobs heavily reliant on repetitive or data-driven tasks as being most exposed. For instance, software development roles have a 39.7% probability of being automated, while mathematical occupations, such as financial analysts, face similar risks. In contrast, professions in education and library services report only a 7.3% automation rate, highlighting the disparity in AI’s reach across sectors.

Further compounding the issue, SHRM estimates that 7.8% of current U.S. work output—representing around 12 million jobs—already involves tasks that are at least 50% completed using generative AI technologies. This signals a rapid shift in how work is executed, emphasizing the urgency for businesses to adapt strategically.

AI Is Not a Universal Replacement

Despite alarming statistics, SHRM also emphasizes that a “significant majority of employment” is insulated from immediate automation due to nontechnical barriers. These include interpersonal dynamics, client preferences, and physical limitations that make automation impractical or undesirable. Roles in healthcare and education often fall into this category, where human interaction is essential and difficult to replicate with machines.

SHRM notes that “client preferences” are the most cited reason why some jobs remain safe from AI disruption. Many people still prefer to interact with a human, particularly in fields requiring empathy, nuanced communication, or trust.

Global Perspective from the World Economic Forum

Adding a global dimension to the discussion, the World Economic Forum (WEF) released a report shedding light on the “dual workforce challenge” posed by AI. Their global survey of C-suite executives found that 92% are currently experiencing up to 20% workforce overcapacity. This surplus is expected to rise to 30% by 2028 for about half of the companies surveyed.

At the same time, however, 94% of respondents reported experiencing critical shortages in AI talent, highlighting a paradox: too many employees in some areas, and not enough in others. WEF describes this as a shift from mere “experimentation” with AI to a phase of “structural disruption.”

The Need for Reskilling and Strategic Workforce Planning

Both SHRM and WEF stress that the solution lies in proactive workforce transformation. The WEF advocates for “reskilling at scale,” along with redesigning jobs to facilitate human-AI collaboration. HR departments must take a central role in this evolution, guiding companies through a transition from traditional job models to AI-integrated workflows.

This transformation is likened to the advent of personal computers and printers in the workplace, which rendered typewriters obsolete and demanded new skills from employees. Similarly, today’s businesses must rethink job roles and invest in large-scale training programs to ensure their workforce can effectively leverage AI tools.

A Roadmap for Business Leaders

For companies already implementing AI tools—or planning to do so—it is critical to communicate intentions transparently. If the goal is to enhance productivity rather than cut jobs, this should be made clear to employees. It’s also essential to allocate additional resources to HR departments to manage upskilling initiatives and long-term education programs.

One forward-thinking approach is to upskill workers who have more time available due to AI efficiencies. These employees can be assigned expanded or more strategic roles, helping the company grow while also maintaining morale and job security.

Ultimately, the integration of AI into the workplace doesn’t have to result in mass layoffs. With thoughtful planning, businesses can turn this technological evolution into an opportunity for workforce empowerment, improved efficiency, and increased competitiveness.


This article is inspired by content from Original Source. It has been rephrased for originality. Images are credited to the original source.